New Data on Where AI Specifically Impacts Entry-Level Jobs

Remember that Stanford data about AI crushing the job market for entry-level software developers?

It's BAAACK...

And this time, it's got friends:

Specifically, the researchers have teamed up with ADP to measure payroll growth across 4 different job titles:

🤖 TWO where AI can do a huge chunk of the key tasks today: Software Developer + Customer Service Rep

❌ TWO where AI may never be able to do any part of the jobs: Stock Clerk + Home Health Aide

And the resulting graphs are like two ships diverging in the night:

🤖 The AI-exposed roles show continued growth for senior roles (i.e., the managing, leadership, and vision-setting) with massive decay for the junior roles (the computer tasks that AI can already do)


❌ The AI-unexposed roles actually show strong growth overall - and even slightly better growth for younger workers


So now it's your turn:

🫟 Is this data just a Rorschach Test for AI haters or lovers - i.e., we see in it whatever we want to see?

🔎 Or is this getting closer and closer to definitive proof that AI may not take all jobs - but for certain roles and certain stages, there's a clear impact

Let me know in the Comments! 👇